Official Sports Betting Thread

[Reason]

thought i posted this but i bet on nets/ind over...was pretty easy

[naturalborn103]

I didn't end up doing any basketball bets tonight. I like Bulls -4 vs. Hawks tomorrow.

[Reason]

swing and a big miss with okc but nets over softened the blow

[naturalborn103]

Im running all over today so I dont have too much time to sit and look, but here what im taking:

Bobcats-Cs under 191
MKG over 9.5
Bulls -4 vs Hawks

[Reason]

Im running all over today so I dont have too much time to sit and look, but here what im taking:

Bobcats-Cs under 191
MKG over 9.5
Bulls -4 vs Hawks

lac/mem over 180
okc -5
cats/cets under 191

total 3pt shots made over 13.5 atl/chi

luol deng more points than josh smith -1.5

josh smith over 8.5 rebounds

josh smith under 28 pts/reb/ast


PARLAY (6 TEAMS) RR (1P-6T)
01/14/2013 @ 04:35 PM NBA
[704] BOSTON -800
01/14/2013 @ 05:05 PM NBA
[705] TOTAL o184-110
(ATLANTA vrs CHICAGO)
01/14/2013 @ 05:05 PM NBA
[706] CHICAGO -4-110
01/14/2013 @ 05:05 PM NBA
[707] TOTAL o180-110
(LA CLIPPERS vrs MEMPHIS)
01/14/2013 @ 06:05 PM NBA
[713] OKLAHOMA CITY -5-110
01/14/2013 @ 07:05 PM NBA
[715] TOTAL o205½-110
(CLEVELAND vrs SACRAMENTO)

5 Teams FB 8, 8½, 9 pts - BK 6, 6½, 7 pts
01/14/2013 @ 05:05 PM NBA
[705] TOTAL o178-110 (B+6)
(ATLANTA vrs CHICAGO)
01/14/2013 @ 05:05 PM NBA
[706] CHICAGO +2-110 (B+6)
01/14/2013 @ 05:05 PM NBA
[707] TOTAL o174-110 (B+6)
(LA CLIPPERS vrs MEMPHIS)
01/14/2013 @ 06:05 PM NBA
[713] OKLAHOMA CITY +1-110 (B+6)
01/14/2013 @ 07:05 PM NBA
[715] TOTAL o199½-110 (B+6)
(CLEVELAND vrs SACRAMENTO)


3 Team Sp FB 12, 12½, 13 - BK 9, 9½, 10
01/14/2013 @ 04:35 PM NBA
[704] BOSTON -1½-110 (B+9½)
01/14/2013 @ 04:35 PM NBA
[704] TOTAL u200½-110 (B+9½)
(CHARLOTTE vrs BOSTON)
01/14/2013 @ 06:05 PM NBA
[713] OKLAHOMA CITY +4½-110 (B+9½)

[Reason]

and cowy that is nuts...youa lways have crazy swings it seems lol...you're a baller with a big budget though i don't have the balls to go heads up especially for near that amount of money

[Reason]

added grizz -3 since cp3 is out tonight

[Reason]

NBA Props
Miami Heat @ Utah Jazz
Over 15½ Points -115
Risk 20.00 To Win 17.39
NBA Props
Miami Heat @ Utah Jazz
Over 18 Points -125
Risk 20.00 To Win 16.00
NBA Props
Miami Heat @ Utah Jazz
Jazz -115
Risk 20.00 To Win 17.39
NBA Props
Miami Heat @ Utah Jazz
Over 7 assists -115
Risk 20.00 To Win 17.39
NBA Props
Miami Heat @ Utah Jazz
Under 26½ points +100
Risk 20.00 To Win 20.00
NBA Props
Minnesota Timberwolves @ Dallas Mavericks
Over 18½ Points -120
Risk 20.00 To Win 16.67
NBA Props
Oklahoma City Thunder @ Phoenix Suns
Over 24½ points +105
Risk 20.00 To Win 21.00
NBA Props
Oklahoma City Thunder @ Phoenix Suns
Over 13½ points+assists -140
Risk 20.00 To Win 14.29
NBA Props
LA Clippers @ Memphis Grizzlies
Under 18½ Points -125
Risk 20.00 To Win 16.00
NBA Props
LA Clippers @ Memphis Grizzlies
Over 18 Points +110
Risk 20.00 To Win 22.00
NBA Props
Atlanta Hawks @ Chicago Bulls
Over 17½ Points -115
Risk 20.00 To Win 17.39
NBA Props
Charlotte Bobcats @ Boston Celtics
Over 15½ Points -110
Risk 20.00 To Win 18.18

heat over 100.5

cha under 90.5

[Cowy]

haha im like a hair or two beneath being able to make serious money in poker which is annoying and wastes my time. like a dude that could keep making NBDL teams but never make it past that, if you enjoy sports analogies.

im about to play a few games and ill post my results granted that my gf doesnt barge in from the bedroom and fuck my whole world up. we were just fighting about her student loans.

[Reason]

lol gl with the gf

i just finished 2nd in a $2,500 guaranteed $50+5 buy-in...profit of 428.50...

last hand we both have over 125k chips very even in stacks and we go all-in on flop

i have 95 spades flop is 78j, 2 spades, we go all-in, he has j8, i turn a spade for the win only to be crushed by an 8 on the river as he boats up...lolfun times

[Cowy]

ahhh nice anyway. what site you playing?

i just played 4 games and went 2-2 but came out ahead $330, excluding rake, because the last one was the moneyball $550 buyin and won. went +$330 -$220 -$330 +$550 first 3 were against the same guy who ive been raping over the last week but i played the third game pretty badly and sort of gave it to him. game #4 against a really solid reg who i probably should just avoid but im stubborn

will probably play a few more after watchin some DVR will post any additional so you can feel my plight

[Cowy]

played that same guy several times more and finished -550 on the day + whatever the rake was

didnt play very well i dont think but eh

[Cowy]

played another 550 and got even on the day LESS RAKE TIRED OF TYPING ABOUT GOD DAMN RAKE FUCK POKER

[naturalborn103]

Pacers -7.5 @ Bobcats. Bobcats on 4th game in 5 days
LA/Houston over 207

[Reason]

yea cowy you are so engrossed into actual two+two like online poker playing with the awareness of rake and these crazy HU SNG's...haha

i ahve a ton of bets out tonight, the majority are low-risk player props

but i gotta admit i bet on bobcats +7 and a little on the ML. last time they palyed paul george was out, and the pacers had a pretty comfortable win at home playing off david west double teams. the double teams killed the bobcaTS CUZ west would just fire it out to a 3 point shooter who woudl be wide open. the irony is that they did that partially b/c george was out...the irony being that with him back in the lineup the same formula for success cannot be duplicated b/c the bobcats will play them differently...so the pacers have to figure out a different way to beat the bobcats, and they might do it just by sheer physical and skill advantage, but i don't believe in vogel as an offensive mind (pacers are really inefficient offensively), and i feel like the bobcats don't match up terribly with the pacers.

and last but not least, i've noticed a season-long trend...the bobcats play slow-paced/offensively inefficient (using offensive rating) teams much better than the alternative.

beat indy by 1 at home
beat dallas by 4 at home
beat washington by 16 at home
lost to grizzlies by 7 at home
beat the bucks by 4 at home
lost to 76ers by 6 at home
lost to orlando by 9 at home
lost to hornets by 3 at home
lost to cavs by 2 at home

4-4-1 ats in these types of games. they are 10-18-1 in all other games.

and then i noticed this: in games where the over is 194.5 and up...the bobcats are awful....5-13 ats...and they lost their last 8 games ats in such games

but in games where the over is 194 or lower? 8-10-2. and they are 3-0-2 in their last 5 such games

then you factor in the fact that indiana is 4-7 on the road in games where the over/under is set at 186 or lower (i chose 194.5 for bobcats and 186 for pacers based on a rough median/average estimate scanning all their over/unders throughout the season) including losing their last 3 such games

well the over/under is 185.5. charlotte is home. indiana's offense has to adjust after beating the bobcats two games ago. what does all this stuff combined lead me to? the conclusion that the bobcats convincingly play closer and better games against opponents who are more preoccupied with halfcourt sets and/or don't fastbreak or 7 seconds or less it. home team role players play better opposed to road team role players. i'm banking on dj augustin not going 4 for 5 or w/e he did from 3 point range.

having said all that, i could be dead wrong. but i'm just sharing my thought process b/c the shit is so thorough even if i'm wrong lol

[Reason]

lol kemba just turned his ankle...he could stay in the game after timeout but either way bad for the bobcats

[Reason]

lol this is why i dont like ppl followin my bets...

neway let's go rockets 1st half, lakers -6, brooklyn 2nd quarter, and denver 4th quarter

[Reason]

and lakers first hf

[naturalborn103]

Can never underestimate playing 4 games in 5 days. I was at Bobcats game yesterday and they looked tired in 2nd half.

[Reason]

that's the kind of inside info i could have used..jk


226664505 - 1 Jan 15, 2013 05:42 PM Future/Prop $25.00 $20.83
NBA Props - Portland Trail Blazers @ Denver Nuggets - Total points+rebounds by Kenneth Faried (Den) - Over 23½ points+rebounds -120

always nice to have a prop win in the 1st half...faried is a beast

[naturalborn103]

Sorry. I took two days off work and have been running all over the place last couple of days. Not sure if you saw C's game yesterday, but we both bet under and Gordon had the ball down by 11 and 189 total point and he holds the ball for last 11 seconds. I thought for sure that he was hoisting a 3 and ruining my under.

Faried has a chance of winning tonight.

[naturalborn103]

I added Jennings over 19.

[naturalborn103]

Was it just me, or was this Houston/Clippers over 207 very obvious? Rockets low scoring recent games looked due to fatigue and Clippers didn't look to have scoring problems vs. Griz last night without CP3.

[Reason]

lol was just kidding completely kidding

yea the over was fairly obvious in hindsight

[Reason]

i bet over 20 for jennings lol, he better not finish with 19

[naturalborn103]

Kobe on Jennings and looking motivated not great for us. They hiding Nash on Mbah a Moute, which is pretty embarrassing for Mbah a Moute. I thought Nash def be on Jennings since Ellis at the 2.

[Reason]

226664505 - 8 Jan 15, 2013 05:42 PM Future/Prop $25.00 $20.00 Win
NBA Props - LA Clippers @ Houston Rockets - Total points scored by Jamal Crawford (LAC) - Over 17½ points -125
226664505 - 7 Jan 15, 2013 05:42 PM Future/Prop $25.00 $32.50 Loss
NBA Props - Indiana Pacers @ Charlotte Bobcats - Total points scored by Kemba Walker (CHA) - Over 16½ Points +130
226664505 - 5 Jan 15, 2013 05:42 PM Future/Prop $25.00 $21.74 Loss
NBA Props - Toronto Raptors @ Brooklyn Nets - Total assists by Deron Williams (BKN) - Over 8 Assists -115
226664505 - 3 Jan 15, 2013 05:42 PM Future/Prop $25.00 $18.52 Win
NBA Props - Toronto Raptors @ Brooklyn Nets - Total assists by Kyle Lowry (TOR) - Under 6 Assists -135
226664505 - 4 Jan 15, 2013 05:42 PM Future/Prop $25.00 $31.25 Win
NBA Props - Toronto Raptors @ Brooklyn Nets - Total points scored by Kyle Lowry (TOR) - Over 12½ Points +125
226664505 - 1 Jan 15, 2013 05:42 PM Future/Prop $25.00 $20.83 Win
NBA Props - Portland Trail Blazers @ Denver Nuggets - Total points+rebounds by Kenneth Faried (Den) - Over 23½ points+rebounds -120
226664505 - 2 Jan 15, 2013 05:42 PM Future/Prop $25.00 $19.23 Win
NBA Props - Portland Trail Blazers @ Denver Nuggets - Total points+assists by Ty Lawson (Den) - Over 22 points+assists -130

finally had an overwhelmingly successful night with player props this year

ONLINE
01/15/2013
02:36 PM
[ # 133619202 ]
STRAIGHT BET
( Risking: 50.00 - To Win: 45.45 )
LOSE
01/15/2013
04:15 PM NBA
[502] CHARLOTTE +7½-110
Score: INDIANA(103) - CHARLOTTE(76)
LOSE
$-50.00
ONLINE
01/15/2013
02:36 PM
[ # 133619203 ]
STRAIGHT BET
( Risking: 15.00 - To Win: 43.50 )
LOSE
01/15/2013
04:15 PM NBA
[502] CHARLOTTE +290
Score: INDIANA(103) - CHARLOTTE(76)
LOSE
$-15.00
ONLINE
01/15/2013
02:36 PM
[ # 133619207 ]
STRAIGHT BET
( Risking: 25.00 - To Win: 21.74 )
WIN
01/15/2013
04:35 PM NBA
[5506] 2Q BROOKLYN -1½-115
Score: 2Q TORONTO(26) - 2Q BROOKLYN(29)
WIN
$21.74
ONLINE
01/15/2013
02:36 PM
[ # 133619204 ]
STRAIGHT BET
( Risking: 580.00 - To Win: 200.00 )
WIN
01/15/2013
04:45 PM NBA
[506] BROOKLYN -290
Score: TORONTO(106) - BROOKLYN(113)
WIN
$200.00
ONLINE
01/15/2013
02:36 PM
[ # 133619206 ]
STRAIGHT BET
( Risking: 25.00 - To Win: 23.81 )
LOSE
01/15/2013
05:15 PM NBA
[1508] 1H HOUSTON -2-105
Score: 1H LA CLIPPERS(58) - 1H HOUSTON(59)
LOSE
$-25.00



and remaining:

ONLINE
01/14/2013
08:38 PM
[Ticket #: 133597048] 4 Team Sp FB 13, 13½ - BK 9, 9½
01/15/2013 @ 04:15 PM NBA
[503] NEW ORLEANS +12-110 (B+9)
01/15/2013 @ 04:45 PM NBA
[505] TORONTO +16-110 (B+9)
01/15/2013 @ 06:15 PM NBA
[510] DENVER PK-110 (B+9)
01/15/2013 @ 07:45 PM NBA
[512] LA LAKERS +2-110 (B+9)
80.00 50.00
ONLINE
01/15/2013
02:36 PM
[Ticket #: 133619205] STRAIGHT BET
01/15/2013 @ 07:45 PM NBA
[512] LA LAKERS -6-110
100.00 90.91
ONLINE
01/15/2013
02:36 PM
[Ticket #: 133619208] STRAIGHT BET
01/15/2013 @ 06:05 PM NBA
[6510] 4Q DENVER -2-115
25.00 21.74
ONLINE
01/15/2013
06:59 PM
[Ticket #: 133642952] STRAIGHT BET
01/15/2013 @ 07:45 PM NBA
[512] LA LAKERS -255

226684858 - 1 Jan 15, 2013 10:00 PM Money Line $145.00 $58.00
Basketball - 512 Los Angeles Lakers -250 for Game
226678602 - 1 Jan 15, 2013 09:13 PM Money Line $250.00 $100.00
Basketball - 512 Los Angeles Lakers -250 for Game
226664505 - 13 Jan 15, 2013 05:42 PM Future/Prop $25.00 $25.00
NBA Props - Milwaukee Bucks @ Los Angeles Lakers - Total points scored by Monta Ellis (Mil) - Over 19½ points +100
226664505 - 11 Jan 15, 2013 05:42 PM Future/Prop $25.00 $21.74
NBA Props - Milwaukee Bucks @ Los Angeles Lakers - Total points scored by Brandon Jennings (Mil) - Over 20 points -115
226664505 - 12 Jan 15, 2013 05:42 PM Future/Prop $25.00 $21.74
NBA Props - Milwaukee Bucks @ Los Angeles Lakers - Total points scored by Kobe Bryant (LAL) - Over 30 points -115


well yea if the rest of my player props lose then i'll not have had an overwhelmingly successful night at them lol

[Reason]

Kobe on Jennings and looking motivated not great for us. They hiding Nash on Mbah a Moute, which is pretty embarrassing for Mbah a Moute. I thought Nash def be on Jennings since Ellis at the 2.

yea at this point we need jennings to not miss threes

[Reason]

i have two singles for tmrw

hornets +8
wizards/kings over 206

[naturalborn103]

Houston schedule is brutal, they are playing their 6th game in 8 days. I want to try and take advantage somehow, but they are playing the Mavs, who I lose money on everytime I touch one of their games. Probably going to do under 214 for that game for a little.