Brees, Rivers on cusp of breakthrough
Manning 'ultimate coach on the field'; Brady is terrific manipulator of defenses
Forget fantasy football for a minute and let's deal with a little reality.
Never in the history of the NFL has the league asked more from its quarterbacks. The demands have grown exponentially even in the past 10 years. The responsibilities quarterbacks must handle today -- protection adjustments, run-game decisions, audible packages and solving defenses that evolve each week -- deserve another level of analysis.
This project has been in the works for a while, fueled by frustration over pundits' repeated failures to acknowledge and appreciate the most difficult position in sports. After studying quarterbacks throughout my career and spending the past year evaluating the position daily, I believe a strong argument can be made that quarterback play today is as good as ever -- and possibly even better.
It's frankly impossible to rank quarterbacks definitively. It's not how good they are so much as how well they are playing and the situation they are in. Their talent, game-day abilities, the offensive systems they run, the personnel around them, the experiences they've had to this point in their careers -- they all come into play.
Rather than labeling quarterbacks, I've created categories to reflect where each of them stands at this point in his career, subject to change. Anyone can criticize. I've set out to appreciate the position through a level of analysis that simply isn't available without a full understanding for what these players experience and how the game has changed.
I brought up fantasy football in the beginning because the fantasy mindset has skewed perceptions, encouraging us to view quarterbacks through a statistical lens. We have lost perspective as a result. I purposely did not consult a single statistic in formulating the analysis that follows. My playoff notes, end-of-season notes and firsthand knowledge were my guide.
No one asked me to put together a list ranking these 49 quarterbacks. The subject is my passion, the motivation simple. If you can take a five-step drop, keep your eyes downfield and deliver the ball while a 300-pound beast is bearing down on you in a big game, you deserve commendation and appreciation for what you do. There isn't a bad player on my list, regardless of category!
THE ELITE
Quarterbacks demonstrating total mastery of the position with no holes in their game and a Super Bowl victory to back it up. Future Hall of Famers.
1. Peyton Manning, Indianapolis
Analysis: Ultimate coach on the field ג¦ processes and executes more information at a high level than anybody who has ever played the game ג¦ never has an offense functioned around one individual more than it has Manning ג¦ unbelievable durability, second only to Brett Favre ג¦ unrivaled combination of durability and dependability.
2. Tom Brady, New England
Analysis: Best pocket instincts in the league ג¦ unwaveringly disciplined in his approach and execution (film study, weight room, how he plays, etc.) ג¦ uses tricks of trade very well to manipulate defenses (through snap counts, eye placement, pump fakes) ג¦ on par with Manning in recognizing and accounting for last-second defensive adjustments.
SUPERSTARS
Quarterbacks with no holes in their games who have demonstrated an ability to carry their teams. They are a championship ring away from joining Manning and Brady among the elite. There's no game plan these guys can't beat.
1. Drew Brees, New Orleans
Analysis: Master dissector of defenses ג¦ as good off rhythm as on rhythm ג¦ inspirational, fiery leader who demands excellence from those around him.
2. Philip Rivers, San Diego
Analysis: Demonstrative, animated, tough, outspoken, fiery and hypercompetitive ג¦ consistently makes the most difficult throws in the NFL and it's not even close ג¦ one of very few quarterbacks who could flourish in Chargers-style system favoring throws 15-25 yards downfield (as opposed to slants, checkdowns and soft-spot zone plays) ג¦ remarkable efficiency considering how many high-risk throws he must make in game.
STARS
Quarterbacks who have overcome small holes in their games to produce in a big way and enjoy big-game success. These are consistent prime-time performers, with very little separating them from Superstar status.
1. Ben Roethlisberger, Pittsburgh
Analysis: Best improvisational quarterback in the league ג¦ has vastly improved as rhythm and timing passer ג¦ growing in his understanding of defenses and use of hot throws ג¦ growing in the discipline of the position (handling pressure, mastering how defenses are trying to attack).
2. Donovan McNabb, Philadelphia
Analysis: Huge production for an extended period of time ג¦ offense built around him ג¦ ability to extend the play makes him very hard to defend ג¦ no such thing as a dead play with McNabb ג¦ can beat the perfect defensive call because of his experience combined with strength and athleticism ג¦ sometimes inconsistent with his accuracy.
3. Eli Manning, New York Giants
Analysis: Proven winner who has become a great big-game quarterback ג¦ cerebral player ג¦ has huge responsibilities at the line of scrimmage, allowing the Giants to be very multiple on offense, paying huge dividends in the run game (almost every run they have is some sort of box-count run or is conditional on safety alignment or defensive spacing, with Manning getting the Giants into better running plays) ג¦ still shows inconsistency as a passer.
4. Kurt Warner, Arizona
Analysis: Unbelievable production across multiple systems ג¦ anticipates his throws in the passing game better than anybody ג¦ has resurrected two teams ג¦ has struggled with ball security in the pocket, though not so much last season, and can be too aggressive at times.
5. Matt Hasselbeck, Seattle
Analysis: One of the best at manipulating the pocket ג¦ as good as anybody at controlling the middle of field in the passing game, showing very good accuracy and timing between the numbers ג¦ shows creativity ג¦ has shown he can handle as much as anyone at the line of scrimmage ג¦ durability issues could be a concern.
KNOCKING AT THE DOOR
Quarterbacks with immense talent and potential who haven't won anything of significance yet. Playoff success will launch them into a higher category.
1. Tony Romo, Dallas
Analysis: Quickest release in the NFL ג¦ unparalleled ability to throw from multiple foot platforms, both intermediately and down the field ג¦ as artistic as any quarterback in the league, instinctively using all available resources (eye placement, shoulder nods, pump fakes, arm angles, you name it) ג¦ can make something out of nothing on a consistent basis ג¦ sometimes careless with the football, both in the pocket and through the air ג¦ limited big-game success.
2. Carson Palmer, Cincinnati
Analysis: As good a pure passer as there is in the league ג¦ immense arm talent ג¦ great mastery of his offensive system ג¦ needs to stay healthy ג¦ can be a little too aggressive in pumping the ball down the field.
3. Aaron Rodgers, Green Bay
Analysis: Great arm talent ג¦ spins the tightest spiral in the league ג¦ makes every throw look easy ג¦ on his way to having complete mastery of his offense ג¦ inconsistent to this point in his career in two-minute and end-of-game situations
4. Matt Ryan, Atlanta
Analysis: Most dynamic passer as a rookie since Dan Marino ג¦ phenomenal instincts for the position ג¦ strong leader ג¦ the only negative is that he hasn't played enough.
5. Jay Cutler, Chicago
Analysis: Great physical attributes ג¦ phenomenal playmaker ג¦ has shown lack of discipline in critical situations and must show more maturity on and off the field.
6. Joe Flacco, Baltimore
Analysis: Enjoyed playoff success as a rookie and is therefore an exception to the rule in this category, but defies categorization elsewhere ג¦ phenomenal poise under fire ג¦ shows the ability to make every throw ג¦ has not had to carry his team with his arm like the other players in this category.
GTOs (Glad They're Ours)
Quarterbacks who are solid, proven winners, but not flashy. Some have limited abilities, are long in the tooth or look awkward at times, but they can flat-out play the position.
1. Brett Favre, Minnesota
Analysis: Has mastered every trick of the trade ג¦ still has upper-echelon arm talent though he is pushing 40 ג¦ aura brings great energy and enthusiasm to any team ג¦ lack of offseason training will test aging legs, putting additional pressure on arm over course of full season.
2. Jake Delhomme, Carolina
Analysis: Enjoyed significant big-game success before that aberration against the Cardinals last postseason ג¦ dynamic leader who gets the most from his own abilities and from those around him ג¦ can be streaky as a passer.
3. Kerry Collins, Tennessee
Analysis: Hungry for a championship ג¦ great perimeter thrower ג¦ struggles when the rhythm and timing of the play is taken away from him.
4. Chad Pennington, Miami
Analysis: Proven winner who makes every team he's on better immediately ג¦ expert at dissecting and exposing weaknesses in the defense ג¦ limited physical skills.
5. David Garrard, Jacksonville
Analysis: Very talented quarterback with very good throwing and running skills ג¦ great strength in the pocket ג¦ victimized by poor personnel around him ג¦ has tried to do too much at times, including last season, when he tried to do things a quarterback cannot do with an average supporting cast
GPIs (Gotta Prove It)
Quarterbacks with very good potential who are more dependent than others on their offensive systems and surrounding personnel. They need to capitalize on the opportunities in front of them. This group is still figuring out what high-performance quarterbacking in the NFL is all about.
1. Matt Schaub, Houston
Analysis: Looks the part ג¦ throws a beautiful ball ג¦ growing in his understanding of offensive football and defensive recognition ג¦ needs to stay in the lineup.
2. Trent Edwards, Buffalo
Analysis: Smart, athletic and a nice thrower of the football ג¦ still growing into his role ג¦ must show more consistent downfield velocity and accuracy.
3. Jason Campbell, Washington
Analysis: Very good arm talent ג¦ hard worker who has embraced the cerebral part of game ג¦ still must demonstrate consistency in production.
4. Kyle Orton, Denver
Analysis: Won as a young player (21-12 starting record) ג¦ strong arm ג¦ personality and work ethic endear him to teammates ג¦ has not shown a consistent ability to change trajectory and ball speed on various throws
5. Matt Cassel, Kansas City
Analysis: Amazing story and accelerated growth with limited playing time ג¦ very good arm ג¦ struggles with pocket presence and getting through his progressions because of limited experience.
6. Derek Anderson, Cleveland
Analysis: Tremendous size and arm skills ג¦ plays at a high level when he is free and loose ג¦ outstanding production in 2007 ג¦ can perform when given a vote of confidence, but not when tentative.
IN THE ON-DECK CIRCLE
Five guys with great upside who have not yet had the opportunity to showcase their abilities. These are potential stars and superstars of tomorrow. Withholding further analysis until we see more of these guys.
1. Mark Sanchez, New York Jets
2. Matthew Stafford, Detroit
3. Josh Freeman, Tampa Bay
4. Chad Henne, Miami
5. Brady Quinn, Cleveland
JUST WIN, BABY
Quarterbacks who must win consistently to keep their jobs. They have been labeled negatively, told of their limitations, disrespected and underappreciated. Nobody is going to make excuses for them. Winning games is their only chance -- and even that might not be enough. Most can remain an asset to their teams even if not starting.
1. Marc Bulger, St. Louis
Analysis: When everything is right around him, can still spin it as well as most ג¦ very good anticipation ג¦ was productive with a strong supporting cast ג¦ has taken a pounding, and at what price?
2. Shaun Hill, San Francisco
Analysis: Strong leader ג¦ makes up for average arm with quick release ג¦ better athlete than given credit for ג¦ hard to appreciate because he doesn't look the part.
3. Daunte Culpepper, Detroit
Analysis: Hugely productive in early years ג¦ motivated to regain past form ג¦ has become a wiser quarterback ג¦ has sometimes held the ball too long in an effort to make things happen ג¦ needs to more consistently get to his third and fourth options.
4. Byron Leftwich, Tampa Bay
Analysis: Can still pump the ball down the field ג¦ solid production ג¦ needs to play quicker with his feet and arm.
NOT ENOUGH EVIDENCE
Quarterbacks who need more experience before we can form an opinion. Let's see where they stand after about 30 starts. It just takes time!
1. Alex Smith, San Francisco
Analysis: Very good physical traits ג¦ growing through early career adversity ג¦ needs to grow more comfortable in the pocket.
2. Matt Leinart, Arizona
Analysis: Accurate passer with good football sense and a feel for the game ג¦ work ethic no longer seems to be a concern ג¦ off-field persona has affected on-field perception.
3. Tarvaris Jackson, Minnesota
Analysis: Good combination of physical skills ג¦ showed significant improvement following last year's benching, an indication he has the competitiveness to succeed ג¦ balance and other mechanical flaws have caused him to be inconsistent with his accuracy.
4. JaMarcus Russell, Oakland
Analysis: Big arm, big body and big expectations, but does he have the big work ethic to go with them?
REHAB PROJECTS
Quarterbacks who have been broken by the position and a variety of circumstances, some of their own creation and others beyond their control. Each has borne little fruit despite immense physical talents. Success remains a possibility, but the hills ahead of them are steep. Enough said.
1. Michael Vick, Philadelphia
2. David Carr, New York Giants
3. Kyle Boller, St. Louis
4. Chris Simms, Denver
5. Vince Young, Tennessee
6. Patrick Ramsey, Tennessee
7. Joey Harrington, New Orleans
DO NOT WRITE THEM OFF YET
Say whatever you want about these guys, but if it gets to December and your starter goes down, they can help you make a run. These are the best of the rest. End of story.
1. Jeff Garcia, Oakland
2. Jon Kitna, Dallas
3. Billy Volek, San Diego
Former NFL quarterback Trent Dilfer is a football analyst for ESPN.
Trent Dilfer ranks the NFL's qbs.
Moderator: Gregg Popabitch
Trent Dilfer ranks the NFL's qbs.
This topic always comes up every few months. Lets have at her...
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Mr. Concussion is the best QB in the league at taking a hit in order to make a completion. And he's played in a tough, defensive-minded division where they're sending guys on every passing down.eternalreflection wrote:Big Ben is 5th so there is only 4 really good QBs in the league? I mean maybe he returns to the level he was before last year(for a while it was laughable to think Eli was better but I'd take Eli for this year) but he was quite bad last year and carried by a very good defense
And also he's an Ohio downhick who doesn't realize that it's good to throw it away sometimes.
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Manning law!eternalreflection wrote:Big Ben is 5th so there is only 4 really good QBs in the league? I mean maybe he returns to the level he was before last year(for a while it was laughable to think Eli was better but I'd take Eli for this year) but he was quite bad last year and carried by a very good defense
You are such a faggot.
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Jims ranking of the QB that Dilfer ranked based on recent success, expected success, injury worries, situation, etc
THE ELITE
1a. Peyton Manning, Indianapolis
1b. Tom Brady, New England
Both are still a cut above the rest of the league but both have minor question marks. Manningגs being h a new coach which should not be an issue and age which is starting to creep in. Bradyגs being mostly minor questions about the injury recovery.
SUPERSTARS
3. Drew Brees, New Orleans
4. Philip Rivers, San Diego
5. Ben Roethlisberger, Pittsburgh ג though I think he is going to throw a playoff game to avoid another shitty superbowl offseason.
6. Tony Romo, Dallas
STARS
7. Donovan McNabb, Philadelphia ג Superstar level ability but injury and age are starting to be a concern.
8. Aaron Rodgers, Green Bay - Will probably end up in the top 5 by the end of the year
9. Eli Manning, NY Giants ג At the end of the year can see
Knocking at the door aka to many question marks at this point to put higher but all have the superstar potential
10. Kurt Warner, Arizona ג Age and injury are too big of concerns to have him any higher
11. Jay Cutler, Chicago ג has the talent to be a top 5 QB the move is the concern.
12. Matt Ryan, Atlanta
Question Marks similar to the above group but these players do not have the likely ceiling of the above 3
13. Joe Flacco, Baltimore
14. Carson Palmer, Cincinnati
15. Chad Pennington, Miami
16. David Garrard, Jacksonville
17. Jake Delhomme, Carolina
Serviceable
18. Matt Hasselbeck, Seattle
19. Kerry Collins, Tennessee
20. Matt Schaub, Houston
21. Kyle Orton, Denver
22. Matt Cassel, KC
23. Trent Edwards, Buffalo
24. Shaun Hill, San Francisco
We should have traded for someone anyone, signed Vick or are Rookies
24. Jason Campbell, Washington
25. Mark Sanchez, New York Jets
26. Matthew Stafford, Detroit
27. Brett Farve, Brett Farve
28. Derek Anderson, Cleveland
29. Brady Quinn, Cleveland
30. Byron Leftwich, Tampa Bay
31. JaMarcus Russell, Oakland
The Future is not here at least yet, has beens or happy these guys are backups
32. Jeff Garcia, Oakland
33. Josh Freeman, Tampa Bay
34. Chad Henne, Miami
35. Marc Bulger, St. Louis
36. Matt Leinart, Arizona
37. Tarvaris Jackson, Minnesota
38. Daunte Culpepper, Detroit
40. Billy Volek, San Diego
41. Jon Kitna, Dallas
The Rest
David Carr, New York Giants
Kyle Boller, St. Louis
Chris Simms, Denver
Vince Young, Tennessee
Patrick Ramsey, Tennessee
Joey Harrington, New Orleans
Alex Smith, San Francisco ג Worse first pick in history?
???????????????????????
Michael Vick, Philadelphia ג Way to many questions to have any clue of where he ranks at this point. Can be anywhere from mid teens to 40גs.
THE ELITE
1a. Peyton Manning, Indianapolis
1b. Tom Brady, New England
Both are still a cut above the rest of the league but both have minor question marks. Manningגs being h a new coach which should not be an issue and age which is starting to creep in. Bradyגs being mostly minor questions about the injury recovery.
SUPERSTARS
3. Drew Brees, New Orleans
4. Philip Rivers, San Diego
5. Ben Roethlisberger, Pittsburgh ג though I think he is going to throw a playoff game to avoid another shitty superbowl offseason.
6. Tony Romo, Dallas
STARS
7. Donovan McNabb, Philadelphia ג Superstar level ability but injury and age are starting to be a concern.
8. Aaron Rodgers, Green Bay - Will probably end up in the top 5 by the end of the year
9. Eli Manning, NY Giants ג At the end of the year can see
Knocking at the door aka to many question marks at this point to put higher but all have the superstar potential
10. Kurt Warner, Arizona ג Age and injury are too big of concerns to have him any higher
11. Jay Cutler, Chicago ג has the talent to be a top 5 QB the move is the concern.
12. Matt Ryan, Atlanta
Question Marks similar to the above group but these players do not have the likely ceiling of the above 3
13. Joe Flacco, Baltimore
14. Carson Palmer, Cincinnati
15. Chad Pennington, Miami
16. David Garrard, Jacksonville
17. Jake Delhomme, Carolina
Serviceable
18. Matt Hasselbeck, Seattle
19. Kerry Collins, Tennessee
20. Matt Schaub, Houston
21. Kyle Orton, Denver
22. Matt Cassel, KC
23. Trent Edwards, Buffalo
24. Shaun Hill, San Francisco
We should have traded for someone anyone, signed Vick or are Rookies
24. Jason Campbell, Washington
25. Mark Sanchez, New York Jets
26. Matthew Stafford, Detroit
27. Brett Farve, Brett Farve
28. Derek Anderson, Cleveland
29. Brady Quinn, Cleveland
30. Byron Leftwich, Tampa Bay
31. JaMarcus Russell, Oakland
The Future is not here at least yet, has beens or happy these guys are backups
32. Jeff Garcia, Oakland
33. Josh Freeman, Tampa Bay
34. Chad Henne, Miami
35. Marc Bulger, St. Louis
36. Matt Leinart, Arizona
37. Tarvaris Jackson, Minnesota
38. Daunte Culpepper, Detroit
40. Billy Volek, San Diego
41. Jon Kitna, Dallas
The Rest
David Carr, New York Giants
Kyle Boller, St. Louis
Chris Simms, Denver
Vince Young, Tennessee
Patrick Ramsey, Tennessee
Joey Harrington, New Orleans
Alex Smith, San Francisco ג Worse first pick in history?
???????????????????????
Michael Vick, Philadelphia ג Way to many questions to have any clue of where he ranks at this point. Can be anywhere from mid teens to 40גs.
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Great read. Dilfer is the best football analyst on ESPN, and it's not even close imho. I can't really argue with what he said, though I do think Eli Manning is somewhat overrated. I just know he's not a good fantasy football quarterback.
The over under for T.O. turning on Trent Edwards in Buffalo is week 4. I'll blame it on the Bills pathetic coaching staff more than Edwards. They don't want him to throw the ball down field.
![n :lol:](./images/smilies/icon_lol.gif)
The over under for T.O. turning on Trent Edwards in Buffalo is week 4. I'll blame it on the Bills pathetic coaching staff more than Edwards. They don't want him to throw the ball down field.
The differences between 5 to 12 are pretty arbitrary and they are basically interchangeable. If you would prefer there is a 1st tier which is Manning, Brady, Brees and Rivers a second tier with the players I have ranked 5 though 12. I placed Romo higher than McNabb because McNabb has injury and age concerns. I placed Romo higher than Eli because I believe Romo to have the better skills at the position. You want to say McNabb and Eli are better I have no problem with that but they are all at the same basic level.Mike BLAOWery wrote:how did thejim put romo ahead of Eli and McNabb.
what?
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When healthy Schaub is more than a serviceable quarterback. If you're basing his ranking on health concerns then.....Roy Johnson wrote:ThaJim2 wrote: Serviceable
18. Matt Hasselbeck, Seattle
19. Kerry Collins, Tennessee
20. Matt Schaub, Houston
21. Kyle Orton, Denver
22. Matt Cassel, KC
23. Trent Edwards, Buffalo
24. Shaun Hill, San Francisco
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