Official Sports Betting Thread

Choke · Post by **Choke** » Sun Oct 21, 2007 6:24 am

By the way, I'm CONTEMPLATING taking the opposite of what seems obvious on every NFL game tomorrow.

I mean, Steelers -3.5 is just way too easy. How can this NOT be a TD win at least for Pitt. So I'm taking the Broncos

I'm also taking the Eagles, the Seahawks, and the Cowboys I think because they're giving up way too many points in my opinion.

It's so hard to bet this way though, because if everything that I THINK would happen (Steelers dominate, Bears, Vikings, Rams keep it close ENOUGH), I'll feel like a complete moron for betting against those feelings.

I dont know, I just feel like there's a reason the Steelers are only favored by 3.5, and it's not that the sportsbooks are feeling generous.

YouTube · Post by **Philaflava** » Sun Oct 21, 2007 12:28 pm

My picks this week. I realize the spread changed waiting 30 minutes for the games start, but oh well.

Select #1 : NFL Football
Atlanta Falcons 10/21/2007 1:00:01 PM - (EST)
Spread +7

Choke · Post by **Choke** » Sun Oct 21, 2007 1:00 pm

I bet a ton of games. I just have to, can't control myself. Went against my instincts on nearly all of them. Of course those instincts would probably have led me to an amazing week.

Here are my favorites:

Bills +3 (think they can win straight up, should be a really low scoring game with a lot of field goals)

Pats/Dolphins Under 51.5 (I just don't see the Dolphins scoring much against the Pats D. Can anyone name any players on the Dolphins offense other than Lemon, Ronnie Brown, or Ginn Jr? Okay I just thought of a few more. Even with a Pats blowout I don't see the score getting to the 50s)

Chiefs/Raiders over 37.5 (The secret to the Raiders this season is that their offense has been great behind the running game, but their defense has not been what it was last year. They give up a lot of points, but they should be able to put some up as well)

Choke · Post by **Choke** » Sun Oct 21, 2007 1:01 pm

Is VY out? That line just went from Texans +1 to Texans -2

jamrage · Post by **jamrage** » Sun Oct 21, 2007 1:05 pm

Choke wrote:Is VY out? That line just went from Texans +1 to Texans -2

Collins is starting, but VY is not on the inactive list so he technically could play.

the Wiper · Post by **the Wiper** » Sun Oct 21, 2007 8:10 pm

huge indians fan, obviously.

so, i just hedged my happiness.

i bet several units on the red sox tonight. tribe wins, they're in the world series, and fucka 4 units. if they lose, i'm crushed, yet up 4 units.

horrible, i know, but i went 5-0-1 on the day (and at one point, tell me vikings +10 didn't look golden?), and have money to spare in the account..

thoughts?

personally, i think it's genius.

the Wiper · Post by **the Wiper** » Sun Oct 21, 2007 8:12 pm

funny thing is, i actually could arb it for free monies right now, as the line has been PLUMMETING from boston (-150) earlier in the day, and on the same book as the original bet, cleveland can be had for +162...

*shrug*

if it were anything else, i'd take the free money and move on. however, i'd rather have the insurance.

Choke · Post by **Choke** » Mon Oct 22, 2007 12:02 am

Date placed:
Sep 28, 2007 9:54a Single #86471833
Baseball - Futures (Game) Moneyline
Odds to win the 2007 MLB World Series Championship
All wagers have action. No Parlays. Max $600
(985) Colorado Rockies 30/1 Fri@7:05p
Risk $20.00 to win $600.00

Date placed:
Oct 17, 2007 12:29p Single #89350619
Baseball - Futures (Game) Moneyline
Odds to win the 2007 MLB World Series Championship
All wagers have action. No Parlays. Max $500
(702) Boston Red Sox 15/2 Thu@7:05p
Risk $33.08 to win $248.10

YEESSSSSSSSS

Go Rockies!

VerbalTec · Post by **VerbalTec** » Mon Oct 22, 2007 10:54 am

VerbalTec wrote:
Titans @ Texans (+1.5)
38-36
Jets (+6.5) @ Bengals
31-38

CMON FAM. I didnt have money on these picks but shit like this makes you go

as for pitt. I forgot I picked them. good shit choke. pitt was the super square public pick, the house got over on that one. Fuckin deadskins fucked up a 3 teamer I had wit Dallas and NE, I thought Kurt Warners bitch ass was out! Hopefully Colts roll tonight, I cant see a reason to go against them after the bye especially if addai and harrison are part of the show.

twob · Post by **twob** » Mon Oct 22, 2007 1:52 pm

Well, the Steelers fucked me last night. I thought they would at least win against Denver.

hah. Anyway, here's to the Colts tonight, and the Sharks. I'll be back to even for the weekend if these play out.

Colts(Indianapolis) -3 (-120)

Colts1Q -0.5 (+115)

Sharks(SanJose) +110

Oh, and I just bet a couple bucks that there would be less than 16.5 goals tonight in the three hockey games. Should be a safe bet. 'Canes vs. Canucks, Bruins vs. Habs, Sharks vs. Flames.

Choke · Post by **Choke** » Mon Oct 22, 2007 2:18 pm

I took the Colts and Under for tonight.

I've heard about a system where you take the opposite of the Sunday Night games results. Sounds absurd but apparently it's done fairly well

So last night the Dog covered and it went over.

Tonight go with the favorite and under.

lol, fuck it, I'll try anything at this point.

Had a pretty shitty day made okay by the Broncos, Bills, and Lions.

Just about everything else I bet fell apart (Raiders, Eagles, Texans, just about every over/under)

Thank god for this World Series matchup.

VerbalTec · Post by **VerbalTec** » Mon Oct 22, 2007 5:41 pm

decided to buy it down to -2.5. Im worried about this game cause everybody and their moms is on the Colts, and it seems so easy. We'll see...

twob · Post by **twob** » Mon Oct 22, 2007 5:53 pm

I don't think the game's going to be that close, then again, I thought the Steelers were good for at least a 7 point lead against the Broncos even at Mile High.

Choke · Post by **Choke** » Mon Oct 22, 2007 6:37 pm

See I actually think the Jags will keep it VERY close and could win.

So I'm betting the Colts

VerbalTec · Post by **VerbalTec** » Mon Oct 22, 2007 6:44 pm

Choke wrote:See I actually think the Jags will keep it VERY close and could win.

So I'm betting the Colts

really? I just cant see it happening. Like maybe the Jags come out and strike first but can they stop Indy alllllllll game. I feel like the Colts want to make a statement here and they are completely healthy and rested

twob · Post by **twob** » Mon Oct 22, 2007 6:49 pm

Well, I guess we'll all see what's up in a couple of hours.

eternalreflection · Post by **eternalreflection** » Mon Oct 22, 2007 7:18 pm

VerbalTec wrote:
Choke wrote:See I actually think the Jags will keep it VERY close and could win.

So I'm betting the Colts
really? I just cant see it happening. Like maybe the Jags come out and strike first but can they stop Indy alllllllll game. I feel like the Colts want to make a statement here and they are completely healthy and rested

did you miss the 44-17 beating they put on Indy last year?

twob · Post by **twob** » Mon Oct 22, 2007 7:36 pm

eternalreflection wrote:
VerbalTec wrote:
Choke wrote:See I actually think the Jags will keep it VERY close and could win.

So I'm betting the Colts
really? I just cant see it happening. Like maybe the Jags come out and strike first but can they stop Indy alllllllll game. I feel like the Colts want to make a statement here and they are completely healthy and rested
did you miss the 44-17 beating they put on Indy last year?

That's actually why I think they're going to have a good game tonight. Jacksonville isn't bad, that's for sure, and they're fighting for #1 in the division right now, but I think Indy has this.

jamrage · Post by **jamrage** » Mon Oct 22, 2007 11:30 pm

jamrage wrote:Last Week: 3-3 Overall: 15-14-1
L.O.T.W last week: 0-1 Overall: 2-3

This week:
Indianapolis -3 @ Jacksonville
Pittsburgh -3.5 @ Denver
Dallas -9.5 @ Minnesota
Atlanta +9 @ New Orleans
N.Y. Giants -9 vs. San Francisco

Lock of the Week
Kansas City +2.5 @ Oakland

5-1 this week including hitting my L.O.T.W.

Hopefully I don't pick 1-5 next week like I did the last time I went 5-1.

VerbalTec · Post by **VerbalTec** » Mon Oct 22, 2007 11:44 pm

Colts will allow me to sleep easy tonight...$$$$$. bong. Jumped on the 2nd half pk too.

Choke · Post by **Choke** » Mon Oct 22, 2007 11:46 pm

Choke wrote:I took the Colts and Under for tonight.

I've heard about a system where you take the opposite of the Sunday Night games results. Sounds absurd but apparently it's done fairly well

So last night the Dog covered and it went over.

Tonight go with the favorite and under.

lol, fuck it, I'll try anything at this point.

twob · Post by **twob** » Mon Oct 22, 2007 11:49 pm

twob wrote:Well, the Steelers fucked me last night. I thought they would at least win against Denver.

hah. Anyway, here's to the Colts tonight, and the Sharks. I'll be back to even for the weekend if these play out.

Colts(Indianapolis) -3 (-120)

Colts1Q -0.5 (+115)

Sharks(SanJose) +110

Oh, and I just bet a couple bucks that there would be less than 16.5 goals tonight in the three hockey games. Should be a safe bet. 'Canes vs. Canucks, Bruins vs. Habs, Sharks vs. Flames.

4/4 tonight.

Sharks almost scored too many goals, but I wouldn't have minded, it's the best hockey they've played all year.

twob · Post by **twob** » Tue Oct 23, 2007 12:31 am

Here's my picks for next weekend in football.

10/28/07 Browns(Cleveland) -3
13:05 ET (-115)
10/28/07 Bears(Chicago) -5
13:05 ET
10/28/07 Giants(NewYork)(N) -9.5
13:05 ET
10/28/07 Raiders(Oakland) +7.5
13:05 ET
10/28/07 Eagles(Philadelphia) -1
13:05 ET (-105)
10/28/07 Steelers(Pittsburgh) -3.5
13:05 ET
10/28/07 Bills(Buffalo) +3
16:10 ET (-120)
10/28/07 Saints(NewOrleans) -2.5
16:20 ET (-120)
10/28/07 Patriots(NewEngland) -16
16:20 ET
10/29/07 Packers(GreenBay) +3
20:35 ET (-105)

twob · Post by **twob** » Tue Oct 23, 2007 3:03 pm

Okay, for hockey tonight I'm going with this:

Colorado
Chicago
Anaheim
Los Angeles
Pittsburgh
Toronto

There are a couple tough ones here. I think Edmonton very well could beat Colorado. The Rangers can beat the Penguins, but I'm looking for the Pens to take it.

OVUN:

NYR vs. Pit Over 6
ATL vs. Tor Under 6.5
CHI vs. CBJ Under 5
CAVs vs Edm Over 5.5
LAK vs. Nash Under 6
Ana vs. St. L Under 5

jamrage · Post by **jamrage** » Wed Oct 24, 2007 12:18 am

^oh god, not hockey betting

NOOOOO!

twob · Post by **twob** » Wed Oct 24, 2007 10:48 am

jamrage wrote:^oh god, not hockey betting

NOOOOO!

Too good for your taste?

Get out of here with that, this is THE betting thread.

twob · Post by **twob** » Wed Oct 24, 2007 10:52 am

twob wrote: Colorado W
Chicago L
Anaheim L
Los Angeles W
Pittsburgh W
Toronto L

OVUN:

NYR vs. Pit Over 6 L
ATL vs. Tor Under 6.5 L
CHI vs. CBJ Under 5 L
CAVs vs Edm Over 5.5 L
LAK vs. Nash Under 6 L
Ana vs. St. L Under 5 L

I was completely wrong on the OVUN, and 3/6 on the money line. I ended up doing a parlay (after seeing the Leafs and Ducks fuck up) with LA and Colorado and came out even in the end.

djm13 · Post by **djm13** » Wed Oct 24, 2007 5:22 pm

Choke wrote:
djm13 wrote:I've been on an incredible run in the nfl (and even buried college football friday and saturday) recently (my hottest stretch ever) and am now a ridiculous 20-8-3 on the season ATS. Unfortunately my college football and especially baseball picks have brought me down so I'm only up a few hund.

Leaning towards Rutgers tonight...undecided on that baseball game.
Start posting your plays man! I need someone to follow.

Already on Rutgers tonight.

my bad...I always forget to check this thread...

to rutgers though...

i didnt do so hot in the nfl this past week...5-5 on straight bets..0-2 on two parlays though (I never play them and this is why) ...way too many bets, tried to play what had been a hot hand (not that i got crushed)

Thinking about baseball tonight...I've been saying I'd ride the AL team for a while now, but with everyone on the sox so heavy i am not so sure...plus I don't like cheering for boston in the world series...might just do the over/under...conventional wisdom says the under...im leanign towards the over, despite the rockies bats with the long layoff

twob · Post by **twob** » Wed Oct 24, 2007 5:52 pm

I was going to bet on the Sox but the money would be bittersweet. I was going to bet on the Rockies but I think that's just foolish.

I decided to stick to football and hockey this week.

Oh, actually, I put a couple bucks on the series length.

I think I chose Sox in 4, 6, and Rockies 5.

I think the Sox will sweep, if not, I think the Sox will take it the first game home after going to Colorado. I only think the Rockies will win if they keep the series in Colorado, and I figure they'll at least lose one. It's only like $5 a bet. Just a fun one.

Tonight for hockey I'm just going with the money line:

Flyers, Redwings, Wild, Lightning, 'Canes.

The Wild hasn't lost yet and Calgary's hungry, so that will be interesting to watch.

Lightning v. Capitals could go either way.

'Canes v. Sabres could go either way.

Flyers and Redwings are almost sure bets though.

Choke · Post by **Choke** » Wed Oct 24, 2007 7:33 pm

That's why I'm so glad I got those futures.

I've outlayed $50 and will win at least $200 with either team winning and the best part is I don't have to bet anymore for the remainder of the series! I'm going to bet a little on the red sox to win the series if the Rockies by any chance ever get the upper hand

I bet Virginia Tech -3 for tomorrow, and have a list of games I'm betting for Saturday and Sunday. I'll post those up later. Basically continuing to fade the top 25 in college.