fantasy football 15/16 thread
Moderator: Gregg Popabitch
fantasy football 15/16 thread
i have an early conundrum for dynasty draft. so i tanked last season to secure the #1 pick this season
i will draft todd gurley with the first overall pick.
i also have pick #4 because i traded for it.
so do i draft #4 nelson agholor to maintain my virtual monopoly on eagles players?
or do i draft #4 tj yeldon who has already claimed the #1 rb spot on the jax depth chart?
or do i draft #4 marcus mariota and roll the dice so that no one else gets him?
for whatever primary considerations you may be having here are some secondary considerations;
1) i have bortles and allen robinson so getting yeldon is a perfect fit for my qb wr rb set up
2) i have almost every eagle except demarco murray which fits my team setup
3a) if mariota pops; sweet; if mariota sucks then 50% chance he lands in philly in a few years anyway
3b) but the way chip and oregon are moving is (from what i have seen) they want to move in a direction to pass more but obv mariota in philly even a couple years from now is good statistology no dizzle and if mariota sucks in tennessee there is always trade possibility
if i miss out on two of the guys i will obv be drafting tevin coleman i mean thats obvious that dude is slated to statistically dominate shit in the coming few years as long as its not some quad headed bullshit over there
but the big question here is what is my order of priority?
i will draft todd gurley with the first overall pick.
i also have pick #4 because i traded for it.
so do i draft #4 nelson agholor to maintain my virtual monopoly on eagles players?
or do i draft #4 tj yeldon who has already claimed the #1 rb spot on the jax depth chart?
or do i draft #4 marcus mariota and roll the dice so that no one else gets him?
for whatever primary considerations you may be having here are some secondary considerations;
1) i have bortles and allen robinson so getting yeldon is a perfect fit for my qb wr rb set up
2) i have almost every eagle except demarco murray which fits my team setup
3a) if mariota pops; sweet; if mariota sucks then 50% chance he lands in philly in a few years anyway
3b) but the way chip and oregon are moving is (from what i have seen) they want to move in a direction to pass more but obv mariota in philly even a couple years from now is good statistology no dizzle and if mariota sucks in tennessee there is always trade possibility
if i miss out on two of the guys i will obv be drafting tevin coleman i mean thats obvious that dude is slated to statistically dominate shit in the coming few years as long as its not some quad headed bullshit over there
but the big question here is what is my order of priority?
Re: fantasy football 15/16 thread
Draft players that will be good at fantasy football. That's it.
Re: fantasy football 15/16 thread
And stop cramming every Eagle you can find onto your roster
Re: fantasy football 15/16 thread
everyone hates what im doing in re the team thing but im showing success since ive been experimenting with it so im not gonna stop evolving it
especially since if team 1 has a few stat ballers and i have a monopoly on team 1s stat ballers that squeezes out my competitions ability to find quality players especially when they are playing teams like the nyg the skins the cowboys
especially since if team 1 has a few stat ballers and i have a monopoly on team 1s stat ballers that squeezes out my competitions ability to find quality players especially when they are playing teams like the nyg the skins the cowboys
Re: fantasy football 15/16 thread
On Sunday, the Eagles rack up 30 offensive points, 400 total yards, and a defensive touchdown. Your ability to score is limited to that stat pool. Your best case scenario is that your fantasy football team, which is made up entirely of Eagles, accounts for all of it.
My team has players from 9 different teams. Each team puts up the exact same stat line as the Eagles. Again, my best case scenario is that my players score all of those points. Except my team is pulling from a much bigger stat pool. Hundreds of points, thousands of yards, etc. They won't account for all of those stats, but it's entirely possible that all of my players have 100 yards and 2 touchdowns.
In order for your team to do that, the Eagles would need to score 100 points on 900 yards.
My team has players from 9 different teams. Each team puts up the exact same stat line as the Eagles. Again, my best case scenario is that my players score all of those points. Except my team is pulling from a much bigger stat pool. Hundreds of points, thousands of yards, etc. They won't account for all of those stats, but it's entirely possible that all of my players have 100 yards and 2 touchdowns.
In order for your team to do that, the Eagles would need to score 100 points on 900 yards.
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Re: fantasy football 15/16 thread
wheels conceptualizes the winning strategy
Hey, by the way who's Curt?
Re: fantasy football 15/16 thread
the problem with this second statement is that you assume there is a limited number of good fantasy players and that it correlates to real life offenses. Dez Bryant will probably be a better fantasy player than anyone on the eagles. Even Murray. You need to take off your real world bias and look at it strictly in fantasy terms. Who gets me points and who's gonna be good for more than one season. I can guarantee with the strategy you outlined in the first post you'll be in last place again.ric wrote:everyone hates what im doing in re the team thing but im showing success since ive been experimenting with it so im not gonna stop evolving it
especially since if team 1 has a few stat ballers and i have a monopoly on team 1s stat ballers that squeezes out my competitions ability to find quality players especially when they are playing teams like the nyg the skins the cowboys
Out of curiousity who would be in your top 10 or 5 for fantasy ric?
Re: fantasy football 15/16 thread
@bros
first off here is what I've gotten using this strategy. my memory is weak and I may be missing a year after season #1 but this is how I remember it right now....
re the strategy
it is important to notice that the way I treat the strategy at this point is not just to go out and grab a team with your first picks. part of the skill is to pick premiums and build off what you can get on or off their teams and at some level it's about what you can/not live with/out
re my top 5
first off here is what I've gotten using this strategy. my memory is weak and I may be missing a year after season #1 but this is how I remember it right now....
it is important to notice that the way I treat the strategy at this point is not just to go out and grab a team with your first picks. part of the skill is to pick premiums and build off what you can get on or off their teams and at some level it's about what you can/not live with/out
Re: fantasy football 15/16 thread
a note regarding the eagles fantasy potential...
@wheels
On Sunday, the Eagles rack up 30 offensive points, 400 total yards, and a defensive touchdown. Your ability to score is limited to that stat pool. Your best case scenario is that your fantasy football team, which is made up entirely of Eagles, accounts for all of it.
My team has players from 9 different teams. Each team puts up the exact same stat line as the Eagles. Again, my best case scenario is that my players score all of those points. Except my team is pulling from a much bigger stat pool. Hundreds of points, thousands of yards, etc. They won't account for all of those stats, but it's entirely possible that all of my players have 100 yards and 2 touchdowns.
In order for your team to do that, the Eagles would need to score 100 points on 900 yards.
Re: fantasy football 15/16 thread
I'll admit I might be underthinking this, but I'm also pretty sure you're overthinking it. Let's play head to head this year and see what's what
Re: fantasy football 15/16 thread
@wheels
for what it's worth I'm drafting up a post talking about direct comparisons between regular vs team strategy
for what it's worth I'm drafting up a post talking about direct comparisons between regular vs team strategy
Re: fantasy football 15/16 thread
I'm honestly looking forward to reading it.
You have the opportunity to punt a week if you draft around byes, which is something I always wanted to try
You have the opportunity to punt a week if you draft around byes, which is something I always wanted to try
Re: fantasy football 15/16 thread
@wheels
word
it just seems like the goal of a fantasy strategy is really to take the guesswork out. that's why the premium designation exists in the first place; these are players you can count on. it just seems like people havent fully extended the strategy and they haven't changed their strategy to fit with the conditions of the game
anyway post forthcoming....
word
it just seems like the goal of a fantasy strategy is really to take the guesswork out. that's why the premium designation exists in the first place; these are players you can count on. it just seems like people havent fully extended the strategy and they haven't changed their strategy to fit with the conditions of the game
anyway post forthcoming....
Re: fantasy football 15/16 thread
I've been meaning to do put up a direct comparison and I will but these past couple weeks I'm working 50hrs+ each week with one day off. so I'll be in here hopefully shortly
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Re: fantasy football 15/16 thread
I'm seeking out some more online $ leagues this year. I've done well w/ the Yahoo pro leagues in the past, but I've never liked the 10 team/no flex format they offer.
Luckily it seems that there's more options than there's been in the past. Apexfantasyleagues.com looks like the best bet. 12 team PPR leagues w/ a flex w/ either snake or auction drafts. They have multiple price entry points and is the best site I've found yet.
Myfantasyleague.com also has $ leagues that are done by email draft (8 hrs per pick) where you can either enter leagues where your drafted team is your final team and your weekly results come from your roster high scores at each position or more traditional add/drop leagues. I've entered in one, but it's taking a while for the league to fill (the drafts themselves can take a couple weeks) so I'll probably focus more on the Apex leagues.
Anyone else tried out any of these types of $ season long leagues?
Luckily it seems that there's more options than there's been in the past. Apexfantasyleagues.com looks like the best bet. 12 team PPR leagues w/ a flex w/ either snake or auction drafts. They have multiple price entry points and is the best site I've found yet.
Myfantasyleague.com also has $ leagues that are done by email draft (8 hrs per pick) where you can either enter leagues where your drafted team is your final team and your weekly results come from your roster high scores at each position or more traditional add/drop leagues. I've entered in one, but it's taking a while for the league to fill (the drafts themselves can take a couple weeks) so I'll probably focus more on the Apex leagues.
Anyone else tried out any of these types of $ season long leagues?
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Re: fantasy football 15/16 thread
After looking into the Apex one a little more it's too pricey for their payouts. You don't even make half of your buy in back if you get 3rd place in a 12 person league. The MFL one has a better payout and the longer form draft seems interesting, I just need the league I'm in to fill up so we can get the thing going.
I'll probably go back to the Yahoo ones for the most part, even though the structure sucks the 90% payout is hard to pass up.
I'll probably go back to the Yahoo ones for the most part, even though the structure sucks the 90% payout is hard to pass up.
Re: fantasy football 15/16 thread
I'm picking #1 again in my 10 team redraft.
I've fucked this up so many times I will consider all options or just do whatever ric says
I've fucked this up so many times I will consider all options or just do whatever ric says
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Re: fantasy football 15/16 thread
Le'Veon is an easy 1st pick for me. Even w/ the two games missed he was so good on a game to game basis last year and I see no reason to believe there will be a decline. I like AP a lot too, maybe about the same in a non PPR league.
I got the 7th pick in this MFL long form draft. So far I have Gronk, Luck, Lamar Miller, Keenan Allen, and Maclin. It was tough to pull the trigger on Luck 2nd round after not taking a RB or WR round one, but I think he's a great value in the 2nd and now I can focus strictly on WR/RB for the next several picks. Really liking the format though, plan on joining another MFL as the payouts are almost as good as Yahoo's and the league structure is preferable.
I got the 7th pick in this MFL long form draft. So far I have Gronk, Luck, Lamar Miller, Keenan Allen, and Maclin. It was tough to pull the trigger on Luck 2nd round after not taking a RB or WR round one, but I think he's a great value in the 2nd and now I can focus strictly on WR/RB for the next several picks. Really liking the format though, plan on joining another MFL as the payouts are almost as good as Yahoo's and the league structure is preferable.
Re: fantasy football 15/16 thread
Should mention it's 10-team non PPR, a little weighted towards QB but not enough to reach. Bonuses for rushing/receiving over 100 yards
If Bell missing 20-25% of the regular fantasy season doesn't bother you at all maybe it should bother me less than it does
If Bell missing 20-25% of the regular fantasy season doesn't bother you at all maybe it should bother me less than it does
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Re: fantasy football 15/16 thread
Couple reasons why it doesn't bother me much. One is I just have such confidence in my ability to make the fantasy playoffs, even if I drop a couple games early, which makes Le'Veon much more appealing because he's the guy I want in the fantasy playoffs. Two is because it's a suspension and not an injury, he'll be able to hit the ground running week 3. If you draft someone like Arian, you can believe the 4-6 week return timetable, but even if he's playing in 4-6 weeks it doesn't mean he'll be 100%.
In a non PPR league I'd consider AP, but I think I'd still lean Le'Veon. Also the fact it's a 10 team league would help me with the decision too, better chance of having better backup options to ride out the first two weeks than you would have in a 12 person league.
In a non PPR league I'd consider AP, but I think I'd still lean Le'Veon. Also the fact it's a 10 team league would help me with the decision too, better chance of having better backup options to ride out the first two weeks than you would have in a 12 person league.
Re: fantasy football 15/16 thread
I really wanted to just stream RB2, which I guess I could still do but it feels like I'm punting the entire position for 2 weeks if I take Bell.
No thought on taking Charles? His ADP is like 1.2 most places
No thought on taking Charles? His ADP is like 1.2 most places
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Re: fantasy football 15/16 thread
With the Chiefs wanting to get Kelce more involved and adding a dynamic wideout like Maclin, they have more legit mouths to feed on O than they've had in a while. They've also mentioned wanting to monitor Charles' workloads even after he had his smallest workload in a while last year. They have a capable, experienced backup in Knile Davis. Having better weapons should make their offense more effective overall, but those incredible seasons Charles had a couple years ago were a result of him being the end all be all for KC. I think you can expect him to duplicate his #'s from last year, which were great, but I think Bell and AP offer considerably more upside. For me Charles, Lacy, and Lynch are great options to fall back on at 3-4-5 and you could argue they're all safer than Le'Veon and AP, but I want the upside.
Re: fantasy football 15/16 thread
total yardage wise last year Charles took a huge hit. not only kelce maclin but deanthony thomas became a real part of the offense and is #1 on his piece of the depth chart as #2 wr and they started motioning him into two back sets with Charles. everybody is up on him but I think they're flat wrong and I think they've misunderstood the direction the Chiefs are going.
Luck is my #1 qb. people havent yet realized that all his stats last year came during the fantasy season. the last two games of the real season last year they just ran those games out and guy passed for like 150/game to the backups.
I'll be back tonight with aforementioned team strategy comparisons
Luck is my #1 qb. people havent yet realized that all his stats last year came during the fantasy season. the last two games of the real season last year they just ran those games out and guy passed for like 150/game to the backups.
I'll be back tonight with aforementioned team strategy comparisons
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Re: fantasy football 15/16 thread
Keep 4:
Brees 61
Antonio Brown 13
Odell Becks 10
Jeremy Hill 10
Justin Forsett 11
CJ Anderson 10
It's an auction league, and the budget is 300, 1/2 ppr.
Brees 61
Antonio Brown 13
Odell Becks 10
Jeremy Hill 10
Justin Forsett 11
CJ Anderson 10
It's an auction league, and the budget is 300, 1/2 ppr.
Re: fantasy football 15/16 thread
Middle 4
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Re: fantasy football 15/16 thread
Why no CJ? Broncos are going to score a ton, more than Bengals or Ravens, and Kubiak is talking "bellcow"
Re: fantasy football 15/16 thread
I think your 3 rbs are interchangeable. Just feel like CJ wont get as many catches in a ppr setting. But really you could just pull 2 names out of a hat and call it day out of those 3.
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Re: fantasy football 15/16 thread
Yeah, I agree w/ the other 3, but I'd take CJ over Forsett. Pretty close though
Re: fantasy football 15/16 thread
year 4 in Dwights Keeper league
Keeping:
Luck (costs me a 4th this year)
Jeffrey(8th)
can't decide to keep Forte(1st). Feels like he's worth the pick but I can just keep another wr and go rb rounds 1 and 2. My other keeper choices at wr would be VJax (2nd) or Kenny Stills (13th) or Martellus Bennet at 12th value
Keeping:
Luck (costs me a 4th this year)
Jeffrey(8th)
can't decide to keep Forte(1st). Feels like he's worth the pick but I can just keep another wr and go rb rounds 1 and 2. My other keeper choices at wr would be VJax (2nd) or Kenny Stills (13th) or Martellus Bennet at 12th value
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Re: fantasy football 15/16 thread
ameer abdullah!!!